Free Trial

Blog

DEJA VU ALL OVER AGAIN

December 10, 2016 by Lee Bolingbroke in Blog with 12 Comments

Feature on the card at Cheltenham is the Caspian Caviar Gold Cup at 1.50, which is almost a re-run of the BetVictor Gold Cup from just short of a month ago. Apart from the winner of that race, the second, third, fourth, fifth and tenth all do battle again and it is quite possible that the winner will come from that group.

For the betVictor we recommended each way bets on dear old Buywise and the Fragrant Venetia trained Aso and followers were rewarded when both made the frame at double figure odds.

However, they are much shorter in the market this time around and represent little of the value that they were last time, although both may place again.

It’s possible that Paul Nicholls holds the key to this race with his two runners Bouvreuil and the 4-y-o Frodon who finished fifth and tenth respectively and here’s why:

Bouvreuil was quite markedly in need of the run, having been slightly slow in coming to hand, yet was only beaten 6+ lengths at the business end and competes off the same mark. This means that the gelding is slightly better off with the second and third and could improve another 7lbs for the run. Also bear in mind that Bouvreuil was just touched off in the Close Brothers Novices Handicap Chase at the Festival in March over course and distance, so is proven on the track.

Frodo had proved a revelation over fences since joining Mr Nicholls, racking up a hat-trick of novice events, including a Grade 2 and was sent off at only 6-1 for the BetVictor. Travelling really well and yet to be asked any questions, Frodon ‘banked’ the open ditch and was immediately done for, but an avoidance of any bone-shuddering errors this time should see a different scenario.

In their wisdom, the bookmakers have reversed the odds on the Nicholls pair from the previous race, so we recommend a win bet on Bouvreuil at 15-2 BetVictor and an each way punt on Frodon at 12s.

The race after the ‘big ‘un’ at 2.25 is the Albert Bartlett Novice Hurdle which could have a bearing on the real thing in March. Worthy favourite is the Nigel Twiston-Davis trained Wholestone which has won and been second at this course on its last two starts, beating the re-opposing West Approach  both times. The weights say it should be no different this time either, with the step back up to 3miles greatly in favour of Daryl Jacob’s mount.  At 9-4 10Bet, we say: “lump on!”

12 Comments

  1. PaulDecember 11, 2016 at 9:53 amReply

    Great day ! Had 44-1 double and a 14-1 winner easily paid for xmas and more ! Many thanks !

  2. david armitageDecember 11, 2016 at 11:39 amReply

    hi chap thanks for the tips i dont put alot on the races but i had two wins with the horses you pick and won just over £60 thank you again

  3. mickDecember 11, 2016 at 11:56 amReply

    Thank you lee
    Excellent result yesterday
    14-1 and 5-2
    No better service in the country
    Keep it up
    Cheers

    • Lee BolingbrokeDecember 11, 2016 at 11:58 amReplyAuthor

      Thanks Mick

  4. kenDecember 11, 2016 at 12:01 pmReply

    Top tipping Lee two nice winners.

  5. bob skeltonDecember 11, 2016 at 3:20 pmReply

    Backed both Lee i had a good day.THANKS.

  6. edDecember 11, 2016 at 4:04 pmReply

    impressed with your service Lee on my trial week

  7. PaulDecember 11, 2016 at 4:25 pmReply

    Excellent stuff Lee. I only started the free trial yesterday and caught a 14/1 winner and your “lump on” one, which I had a decent bet on at 5/2. So, great work mate!

  8. Michael WestDecember 11, 2016 at 5:09 pmReply

    Hi Lee

    My first tips from you so a great start, thanks. I was expecting staking advice (1-10 points) having read your welcome email..is there some reason why there was none ?

    Mike West (Lancashire)

  9. JohnDecember 11, 2016 at 7:09 pmReply

    Hi Lee,

    From the blog and the tip-line I backed 7 horses in various combinations including Lucky 15 and I ended up with: 3 x 1sts, 2 x 2nds, 1 x 3rd and 1 x unplaced. A good sweep I reckon, unfortunately bet low due to a couple of bad months but still very nice.

    Best regards

    John

  10. DaveDecember 12, 2016 at 8:43 amReply

    Got on Froden at 14-1 Lee, great tip, many thanks. Regret missing out on Wholestone, my fault but still happy.

  11. Bloke BrightonDecember 12, 2016 at 10:59 amReply

    Unfortunately the turkey arrived early this year: me. Tipsters are said to go through ‘purple patches. My purple patch is coming from the bruise on my shins – I wasn’t on… I had at least three other sources which mentioned Frodon, I even printed out the email! What went wrong? I was too busy ‘putting all the information together’ & running a bit late to boot. So ends my cautionary tale. Perhaps some of the winners will take pity on me though; they could have a whip-round and buy me a bucket of cold custard.

Leave a reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

*

Facebook IconYouTube IconTwitter Icon